Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner.

By: Contributor(s): Publication details: New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010.Description: xv, 267 p. : illSubject(s): Genre/Form: DDC classification:
  • 332.63/2042 22
LOC classification:
  • HG4529 .P67 2010eb
Online resources:
Contents:
Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
Reviews from LibraryThing.com:
Tags from this library: No tags from this library for this title. Log in to add tags.
Star ratings
    Average rating: 0.0 (0 votes)
Holdings
Item type Current library Call number URL Status Date due Barcode Item holds
E-Book E-Book Strathmore University (Main Library) Online Resource Link to resource Not for loan
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.

Electronic reproduction. Palo Alto, Calif. : ebrary, 2013. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ebrary affiliated libraries.

There are no comments on this title.

to post a comment.

© Strathmore University Library Madaraka Estate Ole, Sangale Road P. O. Box 59857 00200 City Square Nairobi Kenya
Tel.: (+254) (0)703 034000/(0)703 034200/(0)703 034300 Fax.: (+254) (0)20-607498